Look away Manchester United fans as data company predicts where each Premier League club will finish


The data company made bold predictions about who will win the Premier League and get relegated, putting the Red Devils in an unfavourable position

The 2023/24 Premier League season has been a rollercoaster ride filled with thrilling goals, points deductions, and an intense title race that promises to keep fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.


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As the season progresses, a sports intelligence agency, Twenty First Group, has ventured to predict where each Premier League team will finish come the end of the campaign. Here’s a breakdown of their predictions:

Title Contenders

Despite being five points behind current league leaders Liverpool, Twenty First Group believes that Manchester City has a 48 percent chance of winning their fourth consecutive Premier League title. Pep Guardiola’s side is known for making late surges in the league, and they have been named the most likely team to finish at the top of the Premier League table.

Pep Guardiola led Manchester City to the Champions League trophy in 2023 | Imago

Pep Guardiola led Manchester City to the Champions League trophy in 2023 | Imago

Liverpool, are given a 36 percent chance of retaining their title and are the second favourites for the 2023/24 Premier League title according to Twenty First Group. The race at the top is expected to go down to the wire, with Arsenal also in contention.

Arsenal's Martin Odegaard and Liverpool's Jurgen Klopp | Imago

Arsenal’s Martin Odegaard and Liverpool’s Jurgen Klopp | Imago

Arsenal has emerged as a genuine title contender this season, with a 15 percent chance of winning the league. Mikel Arteta’s side recently defeated Liverpool, narrowing the gap to just two points at the top of the table and could be shaping up for another title race at the tail end of the season.

European Hopefuls

Aston Villa has enjoyed a fantastic season, currently sitting fourth in the Premier League. Twenty First Group predicts a 74 percent chance of the club qualifying for the Champions League for the first time in their history. Despite their strong campaign, their chances of winning the title are rated at just one percent.

Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins (Photo Credit: Aston Villa/X)

Aston Villa’s Ollie Watkins (Photo Credit: Aston Villa/X)

Manchester United’s chances of breaking into the top-four this season are rated at a modest 14 percent. The Red Devils have struggled with a challenging season and have lost nine matches, making it an uphill battle to secure a Champions League spot.

Kobbie Mainoo celebrates his first senior goal for Man United. (Photo Credit: Man Utd/x)

Kobbie Mainoo celebrates his first senior goal for Man United. (Photo Credit: Man Utd/x)

Newcastle United has an eight percent chance of securing a return to the Champions League, while London giants Chelsea have been given a 3% chance of reaching the UCL, below Brighton and West Ham.

Relegation fighters

Despite being hit by a 10-point penalty and facing charges for breaching profit and sustainability rules, Twenty First Group predicts that Everton will leapfrog the relegation zone to safety.

Luton Town has shown resilience with a recent unbeaten streak, but Twenty First Group predicts they will still finish inside the relegation zone.

Everton manager Sean Dyche | Imago

Everton manager Sean Dyche | Imago

Burnley is in a precarious position, with an 88 percent chance of relegation according to the analytics agency. Their recent winless streak has put them in danger.

Sheffield United is facing almost certain relegation, with a mere one percent chance of survival, as per Twenty First Group’s projections. Their struggles have made their Premier League future bleak.

New signing Mason Holgate would be hoping to help hold things together at the back for Sheffield United | X/@SheffieldUnited

New signing Mason Holgate would be hoping to help hold things together at the back for Sheffield United | X/@SheffieldUnited

As the Premier League season heads into its final stretch, these predictions offer an intriguing glimpse into how the table might shape up. However, the beautiful game often thrives on unpredictability, and fans can expect more twists and turns as the battle for the title and survival intensifies.

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